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Banks, infra stocks to lead Indian shares higher as vote count set to begin

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Indian shares are likely to open higher on Tuesday as counting of votes in the recently concluded elections were set to begin, led by banks and infrastructure stocks, which analysts said would benefit if Prime Minister Narendra Modi returns to power.

The Gift Nifty was trading at 23,575 points as of 7:00 a.m. IST, indicating that the Nifty 50 will open higher than its Monday close of 23,263.90.

The Nifty 50 and S&P BSE Sensex jumped as much as 3.5% on Monday, hitting record highs after exit polls projected the Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance will likely get a two-thirds majority in the lower house.

The benchmarks logged their best session in nearly 40 months.

The counting of votes will begin at 8:00 a.m. IST. Public sector enterprises, state-run banks , infrastructure stocks and realty stocks surged between 5%-8% on hopes of policy continuity, analysts said. The benchmark indexes have grown by a little more than three times in value since Modi became prime minister of the country in May 2014. India’s volatility index eased to a two-week low on Monday after the exit polls, indicating less uncertainty regarding the outcome than feared, analysts said.

They expect the rally to continue for a few more sessions.

The rally is anticipated to sustain in-line with the magnitude of the actual tally, as inflows which were sitting on the sidelines in the last 3 months pour in, said Vinod Nair, Head of Research, Geojit Financial Services.

Banks and Financials, which rose 4%, each to record highs on Monday, will also be major beneficiaries of the higher private capital expenditure, analysts said.

The improvement in corporate balance sheet strength and improved banking system will ensure double-digit returns in Indian equities over the next two-three years, Axis Securities analysts said.

State Bank of India, Bank of Baroda, REC , NTPC were among the top picks of the brokerage.

Foreign investors net bought shares worth 68.51 billion rupees ($824.4 million) on Monday, while domestic institutional investors purchased 19.14 billion rupees in stocks, as per provisional exchange data. ($1 = 83.1020 Indian rupees)

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